The reason I disliked Statistics is what I'll call the "exceptional circumstance." As the professor would work through the probability equation, I couldn't help but wonder, "But what if the improbable happened?" In other words, what if you drew a red ball every time? Further, what if you drew a red ball a hundred times in a row?
But here's the thing. Statistics is a theory of the probability of equally random things occuring. If the balls are all of the same weight and the conditions of the draw are the same, then in theory, the likelihood of drawing a different color ball each time is equal.
And that's one of the reasons I believe that God is real. There are simply too many things that have occured in my life to attirbute to random probability. Start with the fact that there is a planet Earth and living things on it, and especially those things we refer to as "humans". The entire system and the complexity of life is such that, at least to me, it cannot be attributed to random probability. I suppose its possible that humanity evolved from amoeba, but when I think about all the things that would have had to come together for that to happen, I think it's simply easier to believe that there was a central, guiding Hand in all of it.
This leads to the question of exactly who that guiding Hand is. And again, it's a Statistics question. If I read about that guiding Hand and the description repeatedly and accurately reflects my own experience, then I'll most likely subscribe to that viewpoint. For me, the Bible repeatedly and accurately reflects my own experience. And so, I subscribe to the Bible's characterization of God.
One of the key characterizations of God in the Bible is through Jesus. Jesus, His followers and the contributing writers to the New Testament clearly believed that He was God.
Of even greater interest to me is how Jesus is described in the Old Testament. The Old Testament is filled with prophecies of the coming Messiah- the One who would save mankind. I won't go into the details here, but these prophecies start in Genesis, and repeatedly occur in Psalms, Isaiah, Ezekiel and the writings of the other prophets of the Old Testament. The words are chillingly accurate in the description of the birth, life, death and resurrection of Jesus.
If you haven't ever studied these prophecies, I would encourage you to look into them. But when I read them and think about them in terms of probabilities, I find them leading to the single inescapable conclusion that Jesus was, in fact, God.
Christians will tell you that Jesus was sacrificed for the sins of mankind- yours, mine, and everyone else's. This raises the issue of my second-least favorite subject- Math. I hated Math as a kid and today, I use a calculator to perform mathematical functions- sort of an exquisite revenge for all those years spent sweating over a Math book, instead of being outside playing ball.
Assuming that you do believe that Jesus was God, this sacrifice may raise a couple of questions for you, nonetheless. The first question is "Why do my sins even need to be paid for?" A lot of people ask themselves this question. They reason that their lives, in the balance, are pretty good. They do more good things than bad things. They always try to do the right thing.
But if you believe in God, the fallacy in this thinking quickly becomes obvious. God created you; He gave you life. God created the Earth and everything in it- the resources, the intelligence that developed those resources such that we are able to enjoy them. God gave you everything you have (or at least the capability to get it). So, you owe everthing you have to Him. And because of that, even if you've led a perfectly sinless life, it would still be difficult to completely and perfectly pay Him back for it.
But let's face it. You haven't led a perfectly sinless life. I know that I haven't. So, the truth is that you can never pay God back. Which means, in the grand scheme of eternity, you are in a perpetual deficit relationship to Him. Now throw a little sin on top of it. Think Adam and Eve. God gave them everything they needed, but it wasn't enough. Instead of simply trusting in Him, they trusted in the serpent. They bit the Hand that fed them. And if I'm honest with myself, I quickly realize I've led a pretty rotten life, if I define "rotten" as living in a way that is counter to God's will for me (which is again, defined in the book that I subscribe to, based upon its validation of my life experiences- the Bible).
This leads to the second question. How can one Man pay for the sins of all of mankind? How can the spilled blood of one Man avoid the deserved spilling of blood for every man, woman and child ever born?
In this case, the math is simple. The blood spilled of that Man wasn't of a man. It was of God. And it was the same God who created everything, including the men, women and children for whom He willingly shed His blood. One drop of His blood is of infinite value. And the fact that He shed all of it ihas to be more than payment enough for the blood of all of His creatures.
God created me and you. He assumed human form and lived among us. Through His life, He taught us about His true nature and how we should live. Mankind, originally a perfect creation, has fallen, and to use infomercial vernacular, "can't get up." Jesus, through his life and death helps us up. We are forgiven, once and for all. It's what Christians call "grace"- unmerited and undeserved favor. He does it for each and every one of us. We, through our lives, were headed to eternal separation from God (how can a perfect God coexist in eternity with imperfect creatures?). But He intervened.
And here's the thing. This grace leads us to respond in gratitude to Him. Once we realize that He has forgiven us, we begin to want to act like He did and be like Him. And over time, we become like Him.
Do the math. It works perfectly.